Roger Hill Weathering Heights Consulting...

• 12/1/2008 - North American weather Summary for this Firtst day of December 2008 (click for podcast)

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• 12/1/2008 - North American weather Summary for this Firtst day of December 2008 (click for podcast)

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• 12/1/2008 - North American weather Summary for this Firtst day of December 2008 (click for podcast)

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• 12/1/2008 -

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• 11/27/2008 -

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• 11/20/2008 -

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• 11/19/2008 -

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• 3/29/2008 -

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• 3/29/2008 - Focus on Pacific Northwest into the Northwestern Rocky Mountains into Alberta...

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• 3/29/2008 - Longer Term Differential Heating detected across American West with a changing climate...

SAN FRANCISCO (March 27, 2008) – The American West is heating up more rapidly than the rest of the world, according to a new analysis of the most recent federal government temperature figures. The news is especially bad for some of the nation’s fastest growing cities, which receive water from the drought-stricken Colorado River. The average temperature rise in the Southwest’s largest river basin was more than double the average global increase, likely spelling even more parched conditions.
“Global warming is hitting the West hard,” said Theo Spencer of the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC). “It is already taking an economic toll on the region’s tourism, recreation, skiing, hunting and fishing activities. The speed of warming and mounting economic damage make clear the urgent need to limit global warming pollution.”
For the report, the Rocky Mountain Climate Organization (RMCO) analyzed new temperature data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) for 11 western states. For the five-year period 2003-2007 the average temperature in the Colorado River Basin, which stretches from Wyoming to Mexico, was 2.2 degrees Fahrenheit hotter than the historical average for the 20th Century. The temperature rise was more than twice the global average increase of 1.0 degree during the same period. The average temperature increased 1.7 degrees in the entire 11-state western region.
“We are seeing signs of the economic impacts throughout the West,” said study author Stephen Saunders of the Rocky Mountain Climate Organization. “Since 2000 we have seen $2.7 billion in crop loss claims due to drought. Global warming is harming valuable commercial salmon fisheries, reducing hunting activity and revenues, and threatening shorter and less profitable seasons for ski resorts.”
The Colorado River Basin is in the throes of a record drought, shrinking water supplies for upwards of 30 million people in fast-growing Denver, Albuquerque, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Los Angeles and San Diego. Most of the Colorado River’s flow comes from melting snow in the mountains of Wyoming, Utah and Wyoming. Climate scientists predict even more and drier droughts in the future as hotter temperatures reduce the snowpack and increase evaporation.
To date, the governors of Arizona, California, Montana, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah and Washington have signed the Western Climate Initiative (WCI), an agreement to reduce global warming pollution through a market-based system, such as cap-and-trade. The WCI calls for states to reduce their global warming emissions 15 percent below 2005 levels by 2020. Conservationists say the states should commit to meeting these targets, and that there should also be a firm target of an 80 percent reduction by 2050.
A growing chorus of leaders across the political and economic spectrum says more aggressive action is needed at the national level. Supporters say the Lieberman-Warner bill, “America’s Climate Security Act” (S. 2191), is the strongest global warming bill moving through Congress. The bipartisan bill is the first climate legislation ever to be passed out of a Senate committee. The full Senate is expected to vote on the bill by summer, by which time supporters are optimistic about strengthening the bill even further.
“We need strong leadership from western senators to pass America’s Climate Security Act,” said Spencer. “The longer we wait to put a concrete cap on global warming pollution, the greater the threat to all Americans.”
The NRDC-RMCO report, “Warming in the West,” analyzed temperature data from Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington and Wyoming. The report is available online at www.nrdc.org/globalWarming/west/contents.asp.


 

The Natural Resources Defense Council is a national, nonprofit organization of scientists, lawyers and environmental specialists dedicated to protecting public health and the environment. Founded in 1970, NRDC has 1.2 million members and online activists, served from offices in New York, Washington, Chicago, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Beijing.

The Rocky Mountain Climate Organization is a coalition of 17 local governments, Colorado’s largest water provider, 17 businesses, and 11 nonprofit organizations. Our mission is spreading the word about what climate disruption can do to the Rocky Mountain region and what we can do about it. Learn more at rockymountainclimate.org.
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• 3/27/2008 - Looking at how well snow preservation is taking place in both the east and west with it's opposite twin "snow melt" White colored areas are good!

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Shown below best snow precipitation over the past 24 hours which has been pretty solid across the Pacfic Northwest into the northern Rocky Mountains...

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• 3/27/2008 -

Posted in skigoggs
 http://letstalkweather.com/bh210update/uploads/r/RHill/2671.jpg
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• 3/26/2008 -

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• 3/26/2008 - And just when the political ideologs thought "Global Warming" was all done - You get an Ice Shelf the size of CT to collapse - Bummer.

A vast hunk of floating ice has broken away from the Antarctic peninsula, threatening the collapse of a much larger ice shelf behind it, in a development that has shocked climate scientists.

 

Satellite images show that about 160 square miles of the Wilkins ice shelf has been lost since the end of February, leaving the ice interior now "hanging by a thread".

The collapsing shelf suggests that climate change could be forcing change much more quickly than scientists had predicted.

"The ice shelf is hanging by a thread," said Professor David Vaughan of the British Antarctic Survey (BAS). "We'll know in the next few days or weeks what its fate will be."

Collapsing WIlkins ice shelf, Antarctica The darker area shows the chunk that has broken away. Picture: Nasa The Wilkins shelf covers an area of 5,600 square miles (14,500 sq km). It is now protected by just a thin thread of ice between two islands.

Vaughan was a member of the team that predicted in 1993 that global warming could cause the Wilkins shelf to collapse within 30 years.

 

The shedding of peripheral floating ice shelves has occurred elsewhere on the peninsula, allowing inland ice to move towards the sea and cause rising sea levels.

 

Some areas of the frozen continent have been cooler in recent years, and have added ice through accumulated snowfall. This year, the thin floating layer of sea ice that forms each austral winter and fades in summer has in fact been larger than usual, in contrast to the Arctic.

 

But in other parts — such as the West Antarctic ice sheet — ice is being lost to the sea.

Climate scientists around Antarctica were taken by surprise by the new find. "Wilkins is the largest ice shelf on the Antarctic peninsula yet to be threatened," Vaughan said.

"I didn't expect to see things happen this quickly. We predicted it would happen, but it's happened twice as fast as we predicted."

 

The retreat of the shelf was first spotted from satellite data by Ted Scambos, a glaciologist at the University of Colorado.

He alerted the BAS, which sent an aircraft to assess the extent of the damage.

 

Jim Elliott, who filmed part of the breakup, said: "It was awesome. We flew along the main crack and observed the sheer scale of movement from the breakage. Big chunks of ice, the size of small houses, look as though they've been thrown around like rubble — it's like an explosion."

 

The Antarctic peninsula, which stretches north from the frozen continent towards South America, has experienced unprecedented warming over the past 50 years.

Six other ice shelves have already been lost entirely — the Prince Gustav Channel, Larsen Inlet, Larsen B, Wordie, Muller and Jones shelves.

 

But the Wilkins shelf is farther south than other ice that has retreated, so should be better protected by colder temperatures.

 

Vaughan said: "It's bigger than any ice shelf we've seen retreating before, and in the long term it could be a taste of other things to come. It is another indication of the impact that climate change is having on the region."

 

 

 

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• 3/25/2008 - Check out the podcast while viewing the graphic - a comparison from last year to this year - We are in far better shape to see the snow hang around for skiing and riding into April...

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• 3/25/2008 -

Posted in skigoggs
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• 3/22/2008 -

Posted in skigoggs
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• 3/21/2008 - Good powder drops across portion of the Northeast and West...

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• 3/20/2008 - Latest Skigogg Summary - focus on where the snow is being preserved best despite milder intrusions. The East is mixed as is the West.

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Above shows some of the hints of cloudiness...thn and low level according to IR, but we have not seen nothing yet...

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• 3/20/2008 -

Posted in skigoggs
 http://letstalkweather.com/bh210update/uploads/r/RHill/2613.jpg
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About Me

I'm probably best known as the weather forecaster for The Radio Vermont Group. I have a consulting business called Weathering Heights Consulting. I started in weather in the 1974 with US Army and continued with numerous stints with NOAA, NWS from California to Kansas City to Cape Hatteras to New York and Vermont. In Vermont, I have done weather consulting for such clients as the Grateful Dead, Woodstock II, Lollapolusa, Vermont Symphony, Mozart Festival, Stowe Performing Arts and a bunch of others. Other clients include various snow removal contracts from the state of Vermont, City of Montpelier and other towns, as well as my local innovative utility Washington Electric Cooperative. Mountain forecasting is tricky and as you would expect more intense as weather in Vermont and New England is very "in your face." I enjoy Earth Sciences and the inter-relationships of our most prescious resource - Nature. I prefer the use of technology in ways to help us as a species go with the flow instead of rebelling against it, and reject those who support "old ways of thinking". These are exciting times for new and innovative ways to deal with our energy problems and we need to open our minds on what is working and what is not. Away from the science side, I have also been a fairly accomplished drummer/percussionist for last 35 years and have played in a number local bands across northern Vermont. For me, the rythms of music and weather go hand in hand, naturally, but this is not about me - it's about the best ski weather..

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